Since 1986 we have worked with major corporate clients to explore, understand and prepare for the wide range of risks that threaten organisations. We build plans, procedures and the personal competence of people who are expected to steer organisations out of trouble.

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

That we are in the midst of crisis is now well understood

No. It was not about an attempt to “bury bad news.” Just coincidence that Bank Governor Mervyn King’s gloomy outlook for the UK economy hit the Press on the same day as the Obama speech. His predictions about “a difficult year for us all” had been underlined by the announcement that the Royal Bank of Scotland had made the biggest corporate loss in British history. So could it be that we are about to be rescued by the US 7th Cavalry, also known as the Federal Reserve Bank? The pound, which has fallen in value by 25% since mid-2007, could certainly do with some support.

Obama’s address has been variously described as “not enough like Lincoln at Gettysburg” or “in the great traditions of Paul Revere and the call to arms” (against, you recall, the British invader). So whilst opinion remains divided on the rhetoric, what is clear is that he firmly placed crisis at the top of the agenda. According to one US TV commentator on Pennsylvania Avenue, “he was, in American parlance, telling it like it is.”

Monday, January 12, 2009

Easing our way out of a crisis?

Funny how some situations often have a buzz phrase attached. "Book him, Dano", from Hawaii 5-0; or "You're nicked", from The Sweeney; or "Loadsamoney", courtesy of Harry Enfield. Which brings us neatly to financial crises which have generated their own vocabulary. The pound in your pocket; subprime loans; crisis? what crisis; and now, step forward quantitative easing ... a buzz phrase you will be hearing more of in the future.

It's jargon for printing our way out of the current credit crunch. Like the Weimar Republic and Mr Mugabe why not just print more money and all will be well. Watch out, too, for the concept of the "bad bank" ... something being seriously considered. Basically a state bank would be set up where all those so-called toxic loans could be parked out of harm's way ... and then covered by the taxpayer.