Since 1986 we have worked with major corporate clients to explore, understand and prepare for the wide range of risks that threaten organisations. We build plans, procedures and the personal competence of people who are expected to steer organisations out of trouble.
Showing posts with label Iceland. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Iceland. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 14, 2008

How the tulip mania burst the economic bubble (or do we scent chaos in the market?)

Scottish journalist Charles Mackay wrote a book called Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds in which he attempted to find some rationale behind the herd instinct which seems to bedevil markets. Sound familiar? Well, Charles Mackay published his findings way back in 1841 and although more recently some of his conclusions have been debunked, his basic ideas still attract support.

Mackay was writing about what many argue was the first “economic bubble” ... Tulip Mania ... which engulfed the Dutch economy in the 1630s. It centred around an exotic bulb brought from the Ottoman Empire which became a “must have” purchase in the fashionable salons of Europe, almost regardless of price. The inevitable happened; the price rose to the point at which the market collapsed.